New Federal Tax Rule Makes Breaking Even Bad

Slot machines

Photo by Nik on Unsplash

 

A new federal tax rule limits how much

gambling losses can be deducted from winnings.

 
Stock Market Values. Photo by Maxim Hopman on Unsplash

What’s Going On:

  • Starting January 1, 2026, a new federal tax rule limits how much gambling losses can be deducted from winnings

  • Bettors can now deduct only 90% of their losses against their winnings for tax purposes — down from a full 100% previously.

 
Money burning. Photo by Jp Valery on Unsplash

This Seemingly Small Shift Creates a New Problem:

  • If you break even over the year, e.g. $100,000 won and $100,000 lost, you’ll now have to report $10,000 in taxable “phantom income” - even though no real profit was earned.

 
Exclamation point. Photo by D koi on Unsplash

Why You Should Care:

  • Unexpected Tax Liability: You and bettors may owe tax on income they never actually pocketed.

  • Reporting Complexity: As before, losses only offset gambling income if you the taxpayer itemizes deductions - which not everyone does.

  • Unawareness Is Common: Past surveys show that you and many other bettors don’t even realize you must report gambling winnings.

 
Question mark. Photo by D koi on Unsplash

Who’s Most Affected:

  • High-stakes and professional gamblers - where large losses and winnings are common - are most likely to see meaningful tax bills under the new rule.

  • Casual players - who don’t itemize or whose gambling doesn’t exceed IRS reporting thresholds may see little change.

 
Side view of the Capitol, Washington, D.C. Photo by Sara Cottle on Unsplash

Industry & Legislative Pushback:

  • Nevada lawmakers, casino leaders and bipartisan members of Congress are pushing plans to reverse the 90% cap, arguing it could hurt the gaming industry and local economies that rely on tourism and wagering.

  • Proposals such as the FAIR BET Act (House) and FULL HOUSE Act (Senate) aim to restore the full 100% deduction - but progress is uncertain as we enter 2026.

 

Summary:

Effective Date: Jan. 1, 2026.

New Rule: Only 90% of losses deductible against winnings.

Result: Potential tax on “phantom income”.

Most Impacted: High-stakes and professional gamblers.

 

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